Snowpack stability good; latent glide-snow problem

The snowpack is well consolidated over widespread areas, although the surface is highly diverse and (from a skiers’ point of view) rough going. In regions where snowfall has been heavy, isolated naturally triggered glide-snow avalanches are still possible on steep grass-covered slopes.

Current avalanche situation

The gliding snow problem is currently the pre-eminent source of avalanche danger. This applies most of all to areas where there has been heavy snowfall. Activity has receded somewhat, but isolated medium-sized releases can’t be excluded. Zones below glide cracks are best circumvented or, at very least, traversed quickly, i.e. on ascents.

Glide cracks are indicators of danger, zones below them should be avoided. In photo, Kendlspitze (3085 m, left) and Ganimitz (2785 m, right) in the Granatspitz Range (©Toni Riepler, 27.12.2023).
Numerous glide-snow avalanches, including large releases, in the Lechtal Alps (©Lukas Ruetz, 26.12.2023).

In the interim, the snowdrift problem is no longer a problem. Older snowdrift accumulations are unlikely to trigger. Extremely isolated avalanche prone locations are conceivable on very-to-extremely steep high alpine shady slopes (>3000 m). Even there, high additional loading is usually necessary.

Snowpack surface

There are above average amounts of snow, esp. in the northern regions, as well as very good snowpack stability, but unfortunately rather poor snow quality. Storm-strength winds that accompanied the heavy precipitation last week, along with light rainfall up to at least 2600 m on 24 December, did their work. Melt-freeze crusts and wind crusts: everywhere. Reports of good powder…don’t exist.

Snow depths at observer station in Obergurgl. Compared to long-term averages, snow depths are currently above average.
The snowpack surface is highly variable, frequently icy and hardened. (©N.N., 25.12.2023).

What is interesting, however, in particular with regard to coming development of avalanche dangers, are the thin melt-freeze crusts or ice films which formed during the last rainfall. We see the potential that a weak layer beneath or between these melt-freeze crusts could form. That could then become relevant in the next round of heavy snowfall. For that reason we want to focus on this more precisely and gather an accurate picture of just how widespread these crusts are and what they consist of.

Help us with your own observations:
How far up do these melt-freeze crusts/icy films occur? How thick are they? Are they abundant? What does the layer right below them look like, or between them? Hard? Soft?

As a result of the warm front on 24 December, a thin melt-freeze crust formed on the surface. Above, near Staller Sattel in the Deferegger Alps (©Daniel Kleinlercher, 26.12.2023).
Also in Wipptal are melt-freeze crusts that extend to high altitudes. (©Marco Knoflach, 26.12.2023).
Tthere is the potential that a new weak layer could form beneath or between these near-surface crusts.

Coming developments

The avalanche situation is not expected to change significantly in the next few days. Isolated naturally triggered glide-snow avalanches are possible, esp. on sunny slopes.

One more photo of a glide-snow avalanche and of a glide crack, this time in the Kitzbühel Alps (©Walter Würtl, 26.12.2023).

Temperatures are slightly lower than in recent days, it is expected to remain dry over the weekend. As the new year gets underway, more variable conditions are anticipated.

Amounts of expected snowfall in the next few days. At the beginning of next week, variable conditions are on the agenda.

We wish all of you a bold threshold into the New Year.

Oh, it just occurred to me: the current snowpack surface is often very icy and hard. Taking a nasty fall in steep terrain is thus a very real danger. On that note…

We wish one and all a terrific launch into the new year 2024!